The Method

How We Know What Will Work

The method is based on a mathematical framework that turns out to predict automation outcomes reliably.

Work consists of decisions, and each decision in a process falls into one of two categories.

Explicit Decisions

Follow rules that can be written down completely.

"If the order exceeds $10,000, require manager approval."
"If payment is received, mark the invoice as paid."

These can be automated.

Tacit Decisions

Require judgment that cannot be fully specified.

"Use your best judgment on exceptions."
"Senior people handle the complicated cases."

These cannot be automated, regardless of what technology you use.

Most processes contain both types. The question is the ratio, and where the tacit decisions occur. A process where tacit judgment concentrates in rare exception handling has a different automation profile than one where it pervades the main workflow.

The Science

Why This Works

The distinction between explicit and tacit knowledge is not new. It traces back to work by Shannon on information theory, Turing on computability, and Wiener on control systems. What they established, in different ways, is that there are mathematical limits to what can be formalized and processed by machines. These limits are not technological; they are structural. No amount of better software changes them.

What we do is apply this mathematical framework to business processes. We map out where the decisions are, classify each one, and calculate what percentage of the process can actually be automated. The result is not a subjective assessment but a structural analysis grounded in the same mathematics that underpin every computing system.

The Assessment Process

Four Steps to Clarity

1

Decomposition

We map the complete process: every decision point, every exception path, every handoff. This often reveals complexity that does not appear in existing documentation because processes evolve faster than their documentation does.

2

Classification

Each decision is classified as explicit (fully rule-based), heuristic (partially specifiable with clear boundaries), or tacit (judgment-based, dependent on experience). The classification follows consistent criteria derived from the mathematical framework.

3

Analysis

We calculate the ratio of explicit to tacit across the process. We identify where tacit knowledge concentrates. We assess what would break under automation and what dependencies exist that current plans may not account for.

4

Recommendation

We tell you one of three things: proceed as planned because the structure supports it, restructure the process first to make tacit knowledge explicit, or do not automate this work because the structural barriers cannot be overcome. With the evidence behind the recommendation.

The Difference

What Others Miss

Most technology assessments ask whether a given software can handle a given process. This is the wrong question. The right question is whether the process itself is automatable, independent of what technology you use.

A process full of undocumented judgment calls will fail regardless of what software you use. A process with fully documented rules will likely succeed with any competent implementation. We answer this prior question, telling you whether the conditions for success exist before you evaluate vendors.

Apply the Method

Before your next automation investment, find out whether the structure supports it.

The Predictive Power of Structure

Process structure determines automation outcomes. By analyzing structure before investment, we can predict success or failure with high confidence.